I think the odds are pretty high that God of War Ragnarok releases in 2022. I believe that Xbox's release of Starfield via Bethesda in November, is pretty much set in stone. Because of this I imagine that Sony will want a big release during this quarter, to offset the huge release that Starfield will undoubtedly become for Microsoft. At the end of the day though, I want GOW to release when its ready. It be nice to see it released this holiday season but I prefer a quality game with quality storytelling over any minor fan complaints, if the release date were to be pushed back a little further.
All that being said, I really do feel like God of War Ragnarok will release this year.