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Will Elden Ring Outperform Starfield in Terms of Sales and Concurrent Players?

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This is an interesting question, because due to what both games are trying to accomplish, I think it gives them some unique advantages over the other.

As most of us know, Elden Ring is off to a hot start. The game has already sold 12 million worldwide! That's an incredible number!

Also, due to the huge amount of positive reviews and publicity I expect that number to keep going up. Even though the developer FromSoftware traditionally produces games that have been a more niche experience, it's hard to argue that this game isn't getting some major plays from a more mainstream audience.

If someone had asked me this question before release, I would have said no way. But now, I must admit, with the incredible review scores, great publicity and shocking early sales numbers, I think it's no longer outside the realm of possibility that Elden Ring could outperform Starfield. 

Elden Ring has an obvious advantage in terms of potential sales. It released on last gen consoles and next gen consoles and on PC. That's a huge install base that could purchase the game.

Starfield on the other hand is an Xbox exclusive, and will be available on Xbox gamepass day one. Xbox gamepass has over 20 million subscribers right now. That means over 20 million people will have access to the game for free. Meaning they won't have to purchase the game as long as they are an xbox subscriber. That could put a serious dent in potential sales but it is also a huge advantage in terms of getting players to new players to actually junp in and play the game.

People like me, who have gamepass, will still buy Starfield because its Bethesda's passion project and I'm sure they're gonna release an awesome collector's edition. But the Im sure the mainstream audience will simply use gamepass to access the game.

Another advantage that Starfield has in terms of concurrent players will be its design. Both Elden Ring and Starfield have a open world game design but Starfield is not only open world but it's open space! I truly believe that Bethesda is just going to keep releasing never ending content for Starfield. The original game is only the springboard, they are going to have a ton of hooks to keep us playing and will just add additional content over time.

In conclusion, to answer the question, I fully expect Starfield to absolutely crush it in terms of an active player base. As long as their is not some total catastrophe with its gameplay design, I think Starfield is going to be played by millions of players for years.

On the flip side, its very very possible that Elden Ring actually manages to outsell Starfield its on every single console including PC. But based on the game design I just don't see millions of players playing it 3 years from now.

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